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The Daily Register - Harrisburg, IL
February 15, 2013: A little precipitation today then colder...
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Feb. 14, 2013 12:01 a.m.

February 15, 2013



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Good Friday morning everyone!  I have made a few changes to the blog.  I am going to try place the weather tracking tools at the bottom three quarters of the page.  The top quarter of the page will be my current thoughts and comments concerning what I am seeing on the models and the latest data.



We are about to go on a roller-coaster ride of weather.  But what is new?  Seems like that has been the case for quite awhile.  A very active weather pattern is unfolding - multiple storm systems will move through our region over the coming weeks.

If this pattern repeats in April and early May then we will have quite a bit of severe weather.  Something worth noting.

The first item of interest will be a few snow and rain showers today.  Little in the way of accumulation is forecast.  It will be turning colder - lows tonight will be in the 20s.

Highs on Saturday will struggle to reach 40 degrees.  Saturday night will bring the coldest night of the week with lows in the upper teens and lower 20s.

Sunday will be dry - southerly winds will pick up ahead of our next system off to the west.  An increase in clouds is also likely by Sunday night.

Monday will bring showers and thunderstorms back into the forecast.  Right now I am not expecting any severe weather concerns.  Rainfall will average in the 0.25"-0.60" range with that particular event.

Rain will come to an end by Monday night and Tuesday.

A much larger storm system will impact the central United States by Thursday/Friday of next week.  This system will need to be closely monitored.  If dew points can recover enough then a few severe thunderstorms can't be ruled out.

This event is likely to produce heavy snow to our north - anyone with travel plans on Wednesday night into Friday should check back for the most up to date information.

In the long range I will be watching for a system to come out of the Gulf of Mexico.  Models have been hinting at this for quite some time.  If it happens then we could be looking at a wide range of weather to its north and northwest.  Long way off but worth a mention.

  
Spot NWS forecast for your location (keep in mind that these forecasts on the point and click page are the NWS forecast thoughts - my thoughts are below and/or on my weather Facebook page) -- Click here - then enter your zip code for the most up to date spot forecast from the National Weather Service.










A few rain/snow showers Friday.  No accumulation




No major snow events through at least Tuesday






 




Pattern should be interesting for the U.S. over the coming weeks.  Lot of jet stream energy. 





For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.













No major concerns for the next 24-48 hours






No major concerns over the next 24-48 hours.





No wild cards in this forecast

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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.
  

Friday: Severe weather is not anticipated.  A mix of rain showers and snow showers possible.

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No


Tonight:  Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? No


Tomorrow:  Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No.



For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  



To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here






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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
 

Friday - No 

Saturday - No 

Sunday - No

Monday - No

Tuesday - No

Wednesday - No  



To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here 














We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !

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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.



We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.




Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---


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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  Here is a video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU





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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here 

To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here 

To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here

To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here

All other states- Click Here

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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national        map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.

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To view the interactive warning  map - click here.



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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here



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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.



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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.



Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in! 



 CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image






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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  



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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here 

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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 

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To view recent records that have been broken - click here 

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Keep in mind that these forecasts on the point and click page are the NWS forecast thoughts - my thoughts are below and/or on my weather Facebook page.



 Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here


We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 


Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.   Click here to join---





If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.









Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson

McCracken County Office of Emergency Management

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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook

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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here 

To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here 

To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here

To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here

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All other states- Click Here

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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site

http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site

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